Truth in Transportation Planning

نویسندگان

  • DONALD C. SHOUP
  • DANIEL PATRICK MOYNIHAN
چکیده

Transportation engineers and urban planners often report uncertain estimates as precise numbers, and unwarranted trust in the accuracy of these precise numbers can lead to bad transportation and landuse policies. This paper presents data on parking and trip generation rates to illustrate the misuse of precise numbers to report statistically insignificant estimates. Beyond the problem of statistical insignificance, parking and trip generation rates typically report the parking demand and vehicle trips observed at suburban sites with ample free parking and no public transit. When decisionmakers use these parking and trip generation rates for city planning, they create a city where everyone drives to their destinations and parks free when they get there. Beware of certainty where none exists. DANIEL PATRICK MOYNIHAN

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تاریخ انتشار 2003